台 风 公 报
预报:渠鸿宇 签发:董林 许映龙 2024 年 07 月 23 日 10 时
“格美”将登陆台湾岛
“派比安”将在越南北部减弱消散
一、中央气象台7月23日10时发布台风黄色预警:
今年第3号台风“格美”的中心今天(23日)上午8点钟位于我国台湾省宜兰县南偏东方大约660公里的洋面上,就是北纬19.6度、东经125.1度,中心附近最大风力有13级(40米/秒),中心最低气压为960百帕,七级风圈半径250-300公里,十级风圈半径100-150公里,十二级风圈半径50公里。
预计,“格美”将以每小时20-25公里的速度向偏北转西北方向移动,强度继续加强,最强可达超强台风级(52-58米/秒,16-17级),逐渐向台湾岛东部沿海靠近,并将于24日晚上在台湾岛中北部沿海登陆(强台风级,14-15级,45-50米/秒)。之后穿过台湾岛,将于25日下午到傍晚在福建中部到浙江南部一带沿海登陆(台风级或强台风级,12-14级,33-42米/秒)。然后深入内陆北上,强度逐渐减弱。
大风预报:7月23日14时至24日14时,东海大部及钓鱼岛附近海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、台湾岛沿海、浙江中南部沿海、福建中北部沿海将有6-7级大风,其中东海南部及钓鱼岛附近海域、台湾以东洋面及台湾岛北部和东部沿海的风力有8-10级,部分海域或地区风力可达11-13级,“格美”中心经过的附近海面的风力有14-16级,阵风17级以上。
降水预报:7月23日14时至24日14时,台湾岛大部将有大到暴雨,部分地区大暴雨(100-150毫米)。
二、“派比安”将在越南北部减弱消散
今年第4号台风“派比安”(热带风暴级)的中心今天(23日)上午8点钟位于越南广宁省境内,就是北纬21.4度、东经107.5度,中心附近最大风力有8级(20米/秒),中心最低气压为995百帕。
预计,“派比安”将以每小时5-10公里的速度向西偏北方向缓慢移动,强度逐渐减弱,并将在越南北部减弱消散。
大风预报:7月23日14时至24日02时,北部湾西北部海域以及广西西南部沿海将有6-7级大风,阵风8-9级。
降水预报:7月23日14时至24日14时,广西西南部将有大雨。
海洋天气公报
预报:刘 达 签发:黄 彬 2024 年 07 月 23 日 06 时
我国南部和东部海域将受台风影响
一、近海海域天气实况
22日14时至23日02时,黄海中部和南部海域、东海大部海域、南海大部海域、北部湾出现了5~7级、阵风8级的风,其中北部湾的部分海域出现了8~9级、阵风10级大风。
二、近海海域重点天气预报
1、我国南部和东部海域将受台风影响
预计,23日白天至25日夜间,受台风“派比安”影响,北部湾将有6~8级、阵风9级的大风,部分海域风力可达9级、阵风10级;受台风“格美”影响,东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡将有6~8级、阵风9级的风,其中东海南部海域、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡部分海域将有9~11级、阵风12~13级大风,台风“格美”中心经过的附近海域风力可达12~14级、阵风15~16级;此外,南海大部海域将有5~7级、阵风8级的风。有关台风“派比安”和“格美”的详细信息,请参见中央气象台最新一期的《台风蓝色预警》和《台风公报》。
2、黄海中部部分海域将有8~10级雷暴大风
预计,23日白天,山东半岛沿岸部分海域、黄海中部部分海域将有8~10级的雷暴大风。
三、未来三天具体预报
海事天气公报
ZCZC
WWCI50 BABJ 230600
2:2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC JUL.23 2024 =
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC JUL.23 =
FCST VALID 0600UTC JUL.24 =
WARNNING=
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=
TY GAEMI 2403(2403) 960HPA AT 20.5N 125.0E
MVG NNW 24KMH AND MAX WINDS 40M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 10M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
280KM NE
320KM SE
300KM SW
250KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS
100KM NE
150KM SE
150KM SW
100KM NW
AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS
50KM NE
50KM SE
50KM SW
50KM NW
AND FCST FOR 231800UTC AT 22.9N 124.2E 950HPA
AND MAX WINDS 45M/S NEAR CENTER
AND FCST FOR 240600UTC AT 24.2N 122.9E 935HPA
AND MAX WINDS 52M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
SE/ELY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP
TO 1.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
NLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO
1.5M OVER TAIWAN STRAIT=
SW/WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP
TO 2.0M OVER BASHI CHANNEL AND NORTHEASTERN PART
OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND BEIBU GULF AND CENTRAL PART
OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND SOUTHERN PART OF SOUTH
CHINA SEA=
SE WINDS FROM 14 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP TO
3.5M OVER SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 18 TO 22M/S GUSTS 26M/S SEAS
UP TO 4.0M OVER SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER BOHAI
SEA AND SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA AND BASHI
CHANNEL AND NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
AND SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA AND
THAILAND GULF AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF
SINGAPORE AND SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND
MAKASSAR STRAIT AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FCST=
NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA
SW WINDS BACK S 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
S WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK SE
WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S INCR 12 TO
16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO
ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
E WINDS 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S INCR 36 TO
40M/S GUSTS 40 TO 45M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH TO
HIGH LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
TAIWAN STRAIT
NE WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S BACK N
WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG RAINSTORM VIS
GOOD TO POOR=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
E WINDS 40 TO 45M/S GUSTS 45 TO 50M/S VEER S WINDS
45 TO 50M/S GUSTS 50 TO 55M/S SEA STATE HIGH
MODERATE RAIN BECMG RAINSTORM VIS MODERATE TO POOR=
BASHI CHANNEL
W WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S BACK SW
WINDS 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH HEAVY RAIN VIS MODERATE=
BEIBU GULF
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S DECR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
OVERCAST BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS GOOD TO MODERATE=
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE
OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS MODERATE TO
GOOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
SE WINDS VEER S 40 TO 45M/S GUSTS 45 TO 50M/S SEA
STATE HIGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS
SE WINDS VEER S 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS 36 TO 40M/S GUSTS 40 TO 45M/S DECR 32 TO
36M/S GUSTS 36 TO 40M/S SEA STATE VERY ROUGH
MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
S WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA WEST OF GUAM
SW WINDS VEER W 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA
STATE MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
SEA SOUTHWEST OF THE PHILIPPINES
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF INDONESIA
SE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF JAWA
SE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA
SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=
GULF OF THAILAND
W WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY
VIS GOOD=
ANDAMAN SEA
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE
MODERATE TO ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=
NNNN
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