据CME“美联储观察”:美联储1月降息25个基点的概率为14.9%,维持利率不变的概率为85.1%。到3月累计降息25个基点的概率为51.2%,维持利率不变的概率为42.8%,累计降息50个基点的概率为5.9%。
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