23考研外刊阅读《卫报 》双语精读版训练--英商会预测英国2022年经济增长较前一年减半

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上期翻译答案

More importantly, they’re not having enough conversations about how the algorithms they write could affect people’s lives in unexpected ways, before the next big innovation gets sent out into the world.

更重要的是，在下一个重大创新问世之前，他们对于自己编写的算法会怎样以意想不到的方式影响人们的生活没有展开足够的讨论。

《本期内容》

导读

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英国商会发布《2022年英国经济报告展望》，将英国经济增长预期从3个月前的4.2%降低到3.6% 。报告表示，由于通胀飙升、税收大幅上涨以及俄乌危机等因素对经济造成的冲击，2022年英国经济增长难以达到2021年增长数字7.5%的一半。

双语阅读

Britain’s economic growth will halve this year as a result of soaring inflation,heftytax rises and the destabilising shock from the war in Ukraine, a leading businesslobbygroup has warned. In the first major forecast of the UK economy since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) said it expected an inflation rate of 8% to cut disposable incomes in 2022,putting the brakes onthe recovery from the pandemic.

英国一家核心商业游说团体警告称，由于通胀飙升、大幅增税以及乌克兰战争造成的不稳定冲击，英国今年的经济增长将会减半。这是自俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来首个对英国经济的重大预测，英国商会表示，预计2022年8%的通胀率将减少可支配收入，不利于英国在疫情后复苏。

In its previous forecast, the BCC expected GDP to expand by 4.2%, but after a wide ranging review it said growth would fall to 3.6% – less than half the 7.5% expansion in national income seen last year. The BCC said the size of the economy would surpass its pre-pandemic level over the next few months, but was likely to struggle as consumer confidence, which collapsed last month as the full weight of the cost of living crisis became clear, dropped further over the coming months.

在此前的预测中，英国商会预测国民生产总值将增加4.2%，但更多的学者审议之后，观点调整为经济增长将下降到3.6%——不到去年国民收入增长（7.5%）的一半。翻译划线句，长按文末小程序码打卡，答案下期公布~

Suren Thiru, head of economics at the BCC, said he now expected inflation to peak at 8% and interest rates to increase to 1.5%, adding to the burden on households and companies, alreadybatteredby two years of Covid.“Our latest forecast signals a significant deterioration in the UK’s economic outlook,” he said.

英国商会经济主管苏伦·蒂鲁表示，他现在预计通胀将达到8%的峰值，利率将升至1.5%，进一步增加已经遭受了两年新冠肺炎打击的家庭和企业的负担。“我们最新的预测预示着英国经济前景将出现显著恶化，”他表示。

Unlike in the US and most other European economies, Rishi Sunak’s attempts to boost investment using tax breaks and subsidies have failed. Last year business investment declined despite the offer of a 130% tax break on spending on new plant, machinery and technology. Business investment is forecast to grow at 3.5% in 2022, the BCC said. “This is down from the previous forecast of 5.1% and materially lower than the Bank of England’s latest projection of 13.75%.”

英国与美国和欧洲其他多数国家不同，瑞希·苏纳克试图用税收减免和补贴来促进投资的做法已经失败了。去年，尽管对新工厂、机器和技术的支出有130%的税收减免，但商业投资还是下降了。英国商会表明，预计2022年的商业投资将出现3.5%的增长。“这比之前预测的5.1%有所下降，也大大低于英格兰银行最新预测的13.75%”。

Theanaemicincreases in business investment will mean it remains 6% lower than its pre-pandemic level by the end of 2024. UK exports are expected to remain 13.7% (or £25.5bn) lower than their pre-pandemic level by the end of 2024, reflecting “the impact of post-Brexit trade friction and a weakening global outlook on demand for UK goods and services”.

商业投资增长乏力意味着，到2024年底，商业投资仍将比疫情前的水平低6%。预计到2024年底，英国出口将比疫情前水平低13.7%(255亿英镑)，反映出“英国脱欧后的贸易摩擦和全球日益疲软的经济前景对英国商品和服务需求的影响”。

本文节选自：The Guardian（卫报）

发布时间：2022.03.04

作者：Phillip Inman

原文标题：UK’s economic growth to halve this year says British Chambers of Commerce

词汇积累

1.hefty

• 英 /ˈhɛftɪ/ 美 /ˈhɛftɪ/

• n. 原声乐器；不用电传音的乐器

  adj. 声学的；音响的；听觉的

  2.lobby

• 英 /ˈlɒbɪ/ 美 /ˈlɒbɪ/

• v. 游说(政治家或政府)

  n. 游说团体；大厅; (旨在对政治家施加影响的)游说; (英国议会的)接见厅，表决

  3.batter

• 英 /ˈbætə/ 美 /ˈbætə/

• v. 接连猛打; 殴打；肆虐；抨击，责难; 给……裹面糊; (墙等的)向后倾斜

  n. 面糊(煎料)，面团; (墙等的)向后倾斜; (活字或铅版的)字面磨损处
  

  4.anaemic

• 英 /əˈniːmɪk/ 美 /əˈniːmɪk/
  

• adj.贫血的，患贫血症的；无活力的

词组搭配

1.put the brake on 对……加以延缓；削弱；限制

写作句总结

Our latest forecast signals a significant deterioration in the UK’s economic outlook.

结构: Our latest forecast signals a significant deterioration in the … outlook.

我们最新的预测预示…前景将明显恶化

例句: Our latest forecast signals a significant deterioration in the middle small-size business outlook.

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