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Aug. 27, 2026
产业洞察
根据TrendForce集邦咨询最新MLCC产业研究,韩国大厂SEMCO(三星电机)近期率先针对OEM、ODM客户调涨2026年第四季报价,意味着MLCC产业正式迈入上升格局。
TrendForce集邦咨询预估,SEMCO将对OEM、ODM客户平均上调消费级X5R产品价格25%至30%,借此抑制下单意愿、腾出产能以扩充高端产线。应用于AI Server的高端X6S产品则依客户议价,平均涨幅将落在10%至20%不等。日系大厂Murata(村田)、Taiyo Yuden(太阳诱电)、Kyocera(京瓷)目前持观望态度、报价持平,后续是否跟进调价,将是观察涨势能否扩大的关键。
受惠消费级中高容订单外溢效应,其他厂商第四季报价维持上升态势,预估平均涨幅达10%至20%,以消费级中高容产品为主要涨价标的。厂商产能稼动率同步提高,部分供应商已接近九成。此外,由于AI数据中心需求持续强劲,光通信模块供货缺口扩大,连带导致MLCC需求吃紧,相关厂商也积极寻求支持。相对而言,传统ICT与车用市场展望保守,而且主要经济体成长动能趋缓、终端消费信心承压,下半年传统市场恐呈现“旺季不旺”。
TrendForce集邦咨询表示,随着消费级中高容订单向其他厂商外溢,稼动率垫高,而且SEMCO调涨报价,MLCC产业正式迈入涨价循环。Murata、Taiyo Yuden等日厂是否会跟进,成为观察下一波涨幅的重要指标,预估第四季将延续MLCC供需缺口扩大、价格走升的态势。
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全球高科技产业研究机构
TrendForce集邦咨询作为全球高科技产业研究机构,致力于洞察AI全链脉络,助力企业战略决策。研究版图聚焦AI产业增长引擎,涵盖:HBM、DRAM、NAND Flash等关键存储产品;GPU、ASIC等AI算力芯片;晶圆代工、芯片设计及封测;以及AI服务器、显示面板、LED、AR/VR等基础设施与终端,延伸至自动驾驶、具身智能、光伏储能、低空经济等“AI+”垂直产业集群,同时提供核心零部件价格预测与数据库。凭借多年深耕,为政企客户与投资者提供行业研究报告、企业战略咨询及品牌整合行销等服务。
As a global high-tech industry research institution, TrendForce is dedicated to delivering deep insights into the entire AI ecosystem and empowering strategic decision-making for businesses.Its research footprint focuses on the key growth drivers shaping the AI era, including critical memory technologies such as HBM, DRAM, and NAND Flash; AI computing chips like GPUs and ASICs; wafer foundry, IC design, and semiconductor packaging and testing; as well as infrastructure and end applications, such as AI servers, display panels, LEDs, and AR/VR technologies.
The research scope further extends into emerging “AI+” vertical ecosystems, including autonomous driving, embodied AI, photovoltaic energy storage, and the low-altitude economy, while also providing price forecasts and databases for core components. Leveraging years of deep industry expertise and market development, TrendForce offers industry research reports, corporate strategic consulting, and integrated brand marketing services to government agencies, enterprises, and investors worldwide.
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