美俄之间对耗才是我们看待乌克兰战争的最大利益“公约数”

世事混沌，不能风光用尽。国际关系复杂微妙，唯有利益不变。针对欧洲的乌克兰战争之事，我们目前的态度是，俄罗斯不能倒下，美国不能称霸。也就是说，一个美俄两大国通过乌克兰战争的方式互耗，才能最大限度地消耗着整个西方世界，透支美西方地能量，最终耗死他们。美俄两国原本是在“兴头上”打起来的（当然美国通过乌克兰这个可怜虫进行的），现在的双方处于战略的“僵硬”阶段和战术的回合拉锯时期，边打边谈，私下里不仅存在经贸往来，还有某些不能见光的交易呢！谁都想吃口大的，谁都不会轻易让步，只不过肉疼的是乌克兰而已。

尽管美俄并没有直接的进行军事对耗，美军并没有直接下场乌克兰战争，但间接对耗也是一种耗死人的方法。如今的俄罗斯和美国就是如此。双方都在通过乌克兰战争这种方式来诠释着各自的利益需求的同时，也在削弱彼此的力量；要知道战争是冲突地最高级形式，最能透支一个国家的综合国力。那么、只有通过这种方式不断地对耗才能够让美俄双方不放弃对着干仗的动作，持续性的互相对骂，互相耗尽自己的资源，到了最后关头，我们才能够出手，一锤定乾坤。对于我们来说，现在的定力很重要。

以鹬蚌相争，渔翁得利的这种“中立”的态度和方式处置之，才能得到实实在在的好处和利益。因为无论是美国也好，俄罗斯也罢，他们都有一种天然的交易心理和行为，即在利益面前可以放弃一切，只要筹码够大、价钱够高、利益够足，他们是可以出卖一切的，包括土地、资源、女人，也包括他们自己的肉体和灵魂在内的一切东西。何况对于他人的利益呢？同时在他们眼中来看，国土只不过是一种可以直接来进行买卖交易的标的（物）而已，没有什么可以放弃不了的。这就是资本主义所体现的嘴脸和性质，乌克兰注定只能成为一枚棋子和一个并不太无辜的牺牲品。

（以下是英文版 The next is English edtion）

The 9th Episode of "Global Refuel": The Mutual Exhaustion Between the U.S. and Russia Is the Greatest Common Interest for Viewing the Ukraine War

(Tuesday Afternoon, December 16, 2025)

The world is chaotic, and one cannot exhaust all advantages. International relations are complex and subtle, with only interests remaining constant. Regarding the Ukraine war in Europe, our current stance is that Russia must not collapse, and the U.S. must not achieve hegemony. In other words, it is the mutual exhaustion between the two major powers, the U.S. and Russia, through the Ukraine war that will maximally drain the Western world, deplete the energy of the U.S. and the West, and ultimately wear them down. The U.S. and Russia originally entered the conflict with enthusiasm (though the U.S. acted through the pitiable pawn of Ukraine). Now, both sides are in a phase of strategic "rigidity" and tactical back-and-forth stalemate, fighting while negotiating. Behind the scenes, not only do economic and trade exchanges persist, but there are also certain undisclosed dealings! Each side seeks a larger share, and neither is willing to yield easily—only Ukraine bears the brunt of the pain.

Although the U.S. and Russia are not directly engaged in military confrontation, with U.S. troops not directly participating in the Ukraine war, indirect mutual exhaustion remains a method of attrition. This is precisely the current situation between Russia and the U.S. Both sides are using the Ukraine war to articulate their respective interests while simultaneously weakening each other's strength. It is important to recognize that war is the highest form of conflict and the most capable of depleting a nation's comprehensive power. Only through this method of continuous mutual attrition can the U.S. and Russia be compelled to maintain their confrontational actions, persistently exchanging accusations and exhausting their resources. When the critical moment arrives, we will be able to intervene decisively and settle the matter. For us, maintaining strategic patience at this stage is crucial.

Adopting a "neutral" approach akin to "the snipe and the clam grappling, with the fisherman reaping the reward" is the way to secure tangible benefits and interests. Whether it is the U.S. or Russia, both possess an inherent transactional mindset and behavior: in the face of sufficient interests, they are willing to abandon everything. As long as the stakes are high enough, the price is right, and the benefits are substantial, they can betray anything—including land, resources, women, and even their own bodies and souls. How much more so the interests of others? In their eyes, national territory is merely an object to be bought and sold, with nothing truly irreplaceable. This reflects the nature and demeanor of capitalism. Ukraine is destined to become nothing more than a pawn and a not-entirely-innocent sacrifice.