“蔷琵”将向台湾东北部靠近，目前中心附近最大风力15级

台 风 公 报

预报：李晓兰 签发：张玲2026年10月22日18时

“蔷琵”将向台湾东北部靠近

今年第30号台风“蔷琵”已于今天（22日）下午减弱为强台风级，下午5点钟其中心位于台湾省台北市东南方向约590公里的洋面上，就是北纬21.0度，东经125.2度，中心附近最大风力15级（50米/秒），中心最低气压为940百帕，七级风圈半径350-500公里，十级风圈半径150-210公里，十二级风圈半径80-90公里。

预计，“蔷琵”将以每小时15-20公里的速度继续向北偏西方向移动，逐渐向台湾东北部沿海靠近，强度缓慢减弱，将于23日夜间移入东海南部海域后转为向偏北方向移动，24日在浙江东部近海转为向东北方向移动，逐渐趋向于日本西南部沿海；仍不排除23日夜间擦过台湾东北部沿海的可能。

大风预报：22日20时至23日20时，受冷空气和台风“蔷琵”共同影响，东海大部、台湾海峡、巴士海峡、南海东北部、长江口区、杭州湾、浙江沿海、福建沿海、台湾岛沿海将有6-8级大风、阵风9-10级，其中，东海南部、台湾海峡部分海域、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡偏北海域、台湾东部沿海的风力有9-11级、阵风12-14级，“蔷琵”中心经过的附近海域风力可达12-15级、阵风16-17级。

降水预报：22日20时至23日20时，受台风“蔷琵”影响，台湾岛中北部将有大到暴雨，其中台湾岛东北部有大暴雨到特大暴雨（250-420毫米）；浙江东北部、上海东南部将有大雨。

海洋天气公报

预报：吴敏 签发：黄彬2026年10月22日18时

我国东部海域将有8级及以上大风

一、近海海域天气实况

10月22日02时至14时，东海北部海域、南海中东部海域出现了5~7级、阵风8级的偏北风或东北风，东海南部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海东北部海域出现了7~9级、阵风10级的偏北风或东北风。

二、未来三天具体预报

22日20时至23日20时，受冷空气和台风“蔷琵”共同影响，东海大部、台湾海峡、巴士海峡、南海东北部、长江口区、杭州湾、浙江沿海、福建沿海、台湾岛沿海将有6-8级大风、阵风9-10级，其中，东海南部、台湾海峡部分海域、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡偏北海域、台湾东部沿海的风力有9-11级、阵风12-14级，“蔷琵”中心经过的附近海域风力可达12-15级，阵风16-17级。

23日20时至24日20时，台湾以东洋面将有12～13级、阵风14～15级的旋转风，东海南部海域将有10～11级、阵风12～13级的旋转风，台湾海峡将有8～9级、阵风10级的偏北风，巴士海峡将有8～9级、阵风10级的西南风，东海北部海域将有7～8级、阵风9级的偏东风，黄海南部海域将有5～6级、阵风7级的偏东到东北风，南海东北部海域将有5～6级、阵风7级的偏西风。

24日20时至25日20时，东海南部海域将有8～9级、阵风10级的旋转风，东海北部海域、台湾以东洋面将有7～8级、阵风9级的偏南到东南风，黄海南部海域将有6～7级、阵风8级的偏东风，渤海将有5～6级、阵风7级的东北风，巴士海峡将有5～6级、阵风7级的西南风。

三、未来4～7天天气展望

预计，10月25日夜间至29日白天，渤海、黄海大部海域、东海大部海域将有6～8级、阵风9级的大风，渤海海峡、南海大部海域将有6～7级、阵风8级的风，台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡将有7～8级、阵风9级的大风，北部湾、琼州海峡将有5～6级、阵风7级的风。

海事天气公报

ZCZC

WWCI50 BABJ 220600

2:2:31:11:11:00

BT

PAN PAN =

MESSAGE FOR METAREA XI (CHINA) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING

AT 1015UTC OCT.22 2026 =

MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC OCT.22 =

FCST VALID 0600UTC OCT.23 =

WARNNING=

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=

SUPERTY CHAMPI 2630(2630) 935HPA AT 20.8N 125.4E

MVG NW 13KMH AND MAX WINDS 52M/S NEAR CENTER

(SEAS UP TO 12M)

AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS

500KM NE

450KM SE

350KM SW

480KM NW

AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS

210KM NE

200KM SE

150KM SW

180KM NW

AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS

90KM NE

85KM SE

80KM SW

85KM NW

AND FCST FOR 221800UTC AT 21.9N 124.5E 945HPA

AND MAX WINDS 48M/S NEAR CENTER

AND FCST FOR 230600UTC AT 23.8N 123.1E 955HPA

AND MAX WINDS 42M/S NEAR CENTER=

SUMMARY=

NE/NLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP

TO 2.0M OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND

EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA=

NE/ELY WINDS FROM 14 TO 18M/S GUSTS 22M/S SEAS UP

TO 3.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND

SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=

NLY WINDS FROM 14 TO 22M/S GUSTS 26M/S SEAS UP TO

3.5M OVER TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND

BASHI CHANNEL AND NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA

SEA=

CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 26 TO 30M/S GUSTS 34M/S SEAS

UP TO 6.5M OVER SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=

HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER BASHI

CHANNEL AND QIONGZHOU STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF

RYUKYU ISLANDS AND SEA WEST OF GUAM AND ANDAMAN

SEA AND THAILAND GULF AND MALACCA STRAIT AND SEA

EAST OF SINGAPORE AND SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA AND

LAUT JAWA AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=

FCST=

SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA

NE WINDS VEER E 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE SUNNY BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD TO

MODERATE=

NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA

NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH LIGHT RAIN BECMG HEAVY RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA

NE WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S BACK N

WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA STATE VERY

ROUGH TO HIGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS

MODERATE=

TAIWAN STRAIT

N WINDS 24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S INCR 28 TO

32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S SEA STATE HIGH CLOUDY VIS

GOOD=

SEA EAST OF TAIWAN

N WINDS 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S BECMG

CYCLONIC WINDS 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S SEA

STATE VERY HIGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

BASHI CHANNEL

NW WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S BACK W

WINDS 20 TO 24M/S GUSTS 24 TO 28M/S SEA STATE VERY

ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

N WINDS BACK NW 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE TO ROUGH CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA

NW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA

NW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK SW

WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE SUNNY BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

KOREA STRAIT

NE WINDS VEER E 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE SUNNY BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD TO

MODERATE=

SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN

NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S VEER E

WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE TO ROUGH LIGHT RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS

CYCLONIC WINDS 24 TO 28M/S GUSTS 28 TO 32M/S SEA

STATE HIGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS

MODERATE=

SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS

SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

CYCLONIC WINDS 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S BECMG

S WINDS 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S SEA STATE

HIGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS MODERATE TO

GOOD=

SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS

E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO

12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

S WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

NNNN

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