据CME“美联储观察”,美联储到3月降息25个基点的概率为8.9%,维持利率不变的概率为91.1%。美联储到4月累计降息25个基点的概率为22.5%,维持利率不变的概率为76.0%,累计降息50个基点的概率为1.5%。到6月累计降息25个基点的概率为45.9%。
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