大洋马夫“国际加油站”第15期：乌克兰战争就是“天坑”，原本美国“导演”设计的“铁锅炖大鹅”的剧本走形了

乌克兰战争就是一个巨大的“天坑”，也好似一口巨大的钝刀割肉卤煮的大铁锅，在突突的冒着青烟，而不是美国希望的咕嘟嘟的冒着白烟。最初美国“导演”和欧洲及北约“群演”的剧本是“铁锅炖大鹅”（俄罗斯就是那只被卤煮的大鹅），乌克兰“领衔主演”。可是如今的“剧情”走势有些让美欧情何以堪了呢！越看越让人脊背发冷汗：谁耗死谁还不确定呢？估计得十数年之后见分晓！还是看看这“坑中”的众生相吧，也不知道最后谁会被煮掉、被炖了？

乌克兰开始很勇敢并主动地跳了进去，但也是被摔得最惨的那个，跌在了坑底；脊椎虽然没有摔断，断胳膊断腿儿的，腿脚儿已经不好使了。最严重的是被俄罗斯给“掏肛”了（乌克兰的地图就像一头非洲鬣狗，顿巴斯地区为代表的乌东四州就相当于乌克兰的肛门；本来鬣狗是善于掏肛的，没有想到反被掏肛了，即顿巴斯地区已经落入俄罗斯的口袋之内了），乌东四州和克里米亚半岛已经不保了。开战之初，我个人曾经预测，这场乌克兰战争下来的结局是被打出个东西乌克兰来，瞧着如今局面，估计乌克兰会更惨。

俄罗斯也毫不客气地跳进去了，只可惜北极熊身大体笨的，刚跳进入就被扭着脚脖子了，身上也被美国的钝刀暗中给揦了好几道口子，流着血呢！好在俄罗斯的自我治愈能力还是比较强的，再加上俄罗斯这头北极熊皮糙肉厚的，边淌血边止血、边正骨边揍乌克兰。一副滚刀肉、混不吝、不服就干的孬种样子。当然，俄罗斯也不会坐以待毙地，一边还得要搞生产自救的同时，一边也摇了几个“小弟”诸如朝鲜和伊朗等在外围打救援，尤其是朝鲜可谓是铁哥们儿，直接下场了，朝鲜表现地非常的仗义，当然也是为了自身地生存考虑。

美国虽然没有直接地跳进坑中，但在乌克兰跳入“坑中”之前甩出来的一条铁链子锁住了一条腿，想离开也不是很容易；再说了乌克兰的资源还是非常的丰富的，美国心心念念的，更不能便宜了俄罗斯这头北极熊。留在“坑中”的俄罗斯在暴揍着乌克兰，美国只能眼睁睁地在“坑口”看着，真要跳下去，俄罗斯急眼了，自己不死也得一身伤。只能够在“坑口”偶尔向俄罗斯扔几块砖头，暗下黑手，让俄罗斯有点儿首尾不相顾。总之，俄罗斯的处境也不是太好过，一边防着乌克兰回击，一边还得防着美国黑手。当然，美国也好不到哪儿去？想解开缠套在腿上的铁锁链（也是没有问题的），但自己的“小弟”肯定会被俄罗斯揍死“坑中”，可谓是进退两难。

欧盟和北约这一种美国的“小弟”，好家伙、几十位呢，这时候都跟过来并站到了“坑边”上，面对乌克兰的呼救，已经抓到了乌克兰在坑中仍上来的救命绳索了，就是没有人敢跳进坑中，和俄罗斯这个大块儿头儿直接开干，一边疯狂咆哮般的辱骂俄罗斯，一边又在给乌克兰加油打气助威。欧盟和北约这一帮子怂货呢，可谓是攒鸡毛凑掸子而已，干嚎，偶尔偷袭一下俄罗斯，但就是将乌克兰拉不上来啊！再说了，俄罗斯脾气怪，揍美国容易两败俱伤，揍欧盟和北约还是很有想法的，俄罗斯一瞪眼，欧盟就吓得缩头回去了。时间越长，对乌克兰越不利。慢慢的，欧盟和北约有点儿不耐烦了，有些坐不住了，开始对俄罗斯龇牙咧嘴的同时，要撸胳膊、挽袖子，准备动手了，这就是最近这段时间，欧盟方面放出话来，要组建“欧洲联军”，甚至喊出要和俄罗斯开仗见仗缘由了。欧盟和北约会主动跳入“坑中”吗？大概率不会。

（以下是英文版 The next is English edition）

“Golabal Refuel Station” Episode 15: The Ukraine War is a "Bottomless Pit." The Original Script Directed by the US for "Stewing the Big Goose" Has Gone Off Track

(Monday Evening, December 29, 2025)

The Ukraine war is a massive "bottomless pit," akin to a large, blunt knife slowly simmering meat in a pot, emitting wisps of blue smoke rather than the rolling white steam the US had hoped for. Initially, the script directed by the US and performed by Europe and NATO as "supporting actors" was to "stew the big goose" (with Russia as the goose being simmered), with Ukraine in the leading role. However, the current "plot" has taken a turn that leaves the US and Europe in an awkward position. The longer one observes, the more spine-chilling it becomes: who will exhaust whom remains uncertain! It may take over a decade to see the outcome. Let’s examine the various actors in this "pit" and ponder who might end up being stewed or boiled.

Ukraine bravely and proactively jumped into the pit but suffered the most severe fall, landing at the bottom. Although its spine wasn’t broken, its limbs were fractured, leaving it barely functional. The most critical blow was being "gutted from behind" by Russia (Ukraine’s map resembles an African hyena, with the Donbas region, representing the four eastern oblasts, akin to Ukraine’s rear end. While hyenas are skilled at attacking from behind, Ukraine found itself on the receiving end, as the Donbas region has now fallen into Russia’s grasp). The four eastern oblasts and the Crimean Peninsula are already lost. At the start of the war, I personally predicted that the outcome would be a division of Ukraine into east and west. Given the current situation, Ukraine’s fate may be even worse.

Russia also jumped into the pit without hesitation, but the Polar bear, being large and clumsy, twisted its ankle upon entry and suffered several hidden cuts from the US’s blunt knife, leaving it bleeding. Fortunately, Russia possesses strong self-healing capabilities and, with its thick skin and resilience, continues to fight Ukraine while tending to its wounds. It exhibits a defiant, unruly attitude, refusing to back down and ready to fight at any moment. Of course, Russia is not sitting idly by. While engaging in self-sustaining efforts, it has also called upon "allies" like North Korea and Iran for external support. North Korea, in particular, has proven to be a loyal friend, directly involving itself in the conflict out of both solidarity and self-preservation.

The US did not directly jump into the pit but had one of its legs tethered by a chain thrown into the pit before Ukraine’s leap, making it difficult to leave. Moreover, Ukraine’s abundant resources remain a strong temptation for the US, which is unwilling to let Russia benefit. With Russia still in the pit pummeling Ukraine, the US can only watch from the "edge of the pit." Jumping in would risk severe injury if Russia were to retaliate fiercely. The US occasionally throws bricks into the pit or uses underhanded tactics to keep Russia off balance. In short, Russia’s situation is far from comfortable, as it must guard against Ukrainian counterattacks while fending off US covert actions. However, the US is also in a predicament: while it could free its leg from the chain, doing so would leave its "ally" Ukraine to be beaten to death in the pit, creating a dilemma of choice.

The EU and NATO, the US’s "allies," numbering in the dozens, have gathered at the "edge of the pit." In response to Ukraine’s cries for help, they have grabbed the life-saving rope thrown up from the pit, but none dare to jump in and confront Russia directly. Instead, they loudly condemn Russia while cheering Ukraine on. This group of timid actors is merely making noise, occasionally launching sneak attacks on Russia but failing to pull Ukraine out of the pit. Moreover, Russia’s unpredictable temper makes it hesitant to confront the US directly for fear of mutual destruction, but it has no qualms about taking on the EU and NATO. A mere glare from Russia is enough to make the EU retreat. As time passes, Ukraine’s situation grows increasingly dire. Gradually, the EU and NATO have grown impatient and restless. They are now baring their teeth at Russia, rolling up their sleeves and preparing for action. This explains why the EU recently announced plans to form a "European Army" and even hinted at the possibility of direct fire with Russia. Will the EU and NATO actively jumped into the pit? Most likely not.