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据CME“美联储观察”：美联储10月维持利率不变的概率为12.3%，降息25个基点的概率为87.7%。美联储12月维持利率不变概率为3.1%，累计降息25个基点的概率为31.5%，累计降息50个基点的概率为65.4%。
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