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【聚烯烃市场分析】聚烯烃供应端，新产能逐步兑现，09 合约投产压力大，存量检修处于高位，检修边际增量有限，PP 检修预期环比下降。需求端，下游开工同比偏弱，订单不佳，农膜开工处于淡季，PP 下游需求表现差。塑料 PP 中短期宜逢高沽空，空单继续持有，套利和期权暂时观望。
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