你没有想到美国大选结果的十个原因

出生于前苏联目前居住在英国的作家KonstantinKisin 昨日在X平台上发表了一片短文，面向海外尤其是欧洲的朋友讲述刚刚发生的美国大选。以下是中文翻译并附以英文原文。

对于感到 “震惊 ”和 “惊讶 ”的英国和欧洲朋友，这里有 10 个你没有预见到这一切的原因。 阅读这篇简短的文章，然后阅读我们美国朋友的回复，他们将证实我所说的话。

1. 美国人热爱他们的国家，并希望它成为世界上最好的国家。美国是一个征服了大陆的人民的国家。他们热爱力量。他们喜欢赢。任何吸引这一点的领导者都会自动获得优势。

2. 与欧洲人不同，美国人不接受有管理的衰退。他们这里没有净零排放，他们相信自己生产能源并使其尽可能便宜，因为他们知道他们的繁荣取决于它。

3. 美国大多数基本商品的价格迅速上涨，而且价格高得离谱。官方统计数据对通货膨胀和人们生活现实的看法并不相同。

4. 与你不同，美国人不相信社会主义。他们相信meritocracy（优绩主义，即人们获得成功或权力是因为他们的能力和表现，而不是因为他们的金钱或社会地位）。他们不在乎超级富豪是超级富豪，因为他们知道他们生活在一个国家，任何有才能和动力的人都可以成为超级富豪。他们不憎恨成功，他们庆祝成功。

5. 美国人是世界上最支持移民的人。再读一遍。说真的，再读一遍。美国人喜欢移民的成功故事。他们希望有更多有才华的移民来到美国。但他们拒绝接受非法入境的人。他们相信有边界。

6. 美国人对种族问题和他们国家的不完美历史很敏感。他们认为，应该给那些因出生环境而处于不利地位的人，让他们有机会取得成功。然而，他们拒绝的是这样一种观点，即为了解决过去的错误，必须犯新的错误。DEI（号称多元平等包容的缩写）是种族主义的。他们知道这一点，他们拒绝它，正是因为他们不是种族主义者。

7. 美国人是地球上最亲犹太民族的国家。10 月 7 日，亲哈马斯左翼的反应让他们感到震惊，因为除其他外，他们记得 9/11 是什么样子，当他们看到它时，他们就知道圣战。

8. 美国人是非常务实的人。他们关心什么有效，而不是什么听起来不错。在欧洲，我们培养了伟大的作家和知识分子。在美国，他们培养（并吸引）伟大的工程师、商人和投资者。正因为如此，他们比你更少关心特朗普的言论，而比你更多关心他的政策。

9. 美国人是非常乐观的人。他们讨厌消极情绪。将美国历史视为一系列他们必须永远道歉的罪恶的觉醒观点，对他们来说是极其可憎的。他们相信共同前进，而不是无休止地沉迷于过去。

10. 美国是一个建国故事是抵制政府越权的国家。他们讨厌不必要的限制、法规和控制。他们明白自由是伴随着自力更生的代价的，他们乐于付出。

文章来源：

https://x.com/KonstantinKisin/status/1854151133385613690

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上图红色箭头显示这届大选各个选区转投共和党的投票差额

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英文原文：

10 Reasons You Didn't See This Coming

For my British and European friends who are "shocked" and "surprised", here are 10 reasons you didn't see this coming. Read this short post and then read the replies from our American friends who will confirm what I'm saying.

1. Americans love their country and want it to be the best in the world. America is a nation of people who conquered a continent. They love strength. They love winning. Any leader who appeals to that has an automatic advantage.
   

2. Unlike Europeans, Americans have not accepted managed decline. They don't have Net Zero here, they believe in producing their own energy and making it as cheap as possible because they know that their prosperity depends on it.

3. Prices for most basic goods in the US have increased rapidly and are sky high. What the official statistics say about inflation and the reality of people's lives are not the same.

4. Unlike you, Americans do not believe in socialism. They believe in meritocracy. They don't care about the super rich being super rich because they know that they live in a country where being super rich is available to anyone with the talent and drive to make it. They don't resent success, they celebrate it.

5. Americans are the most pro-immigration people in the world. Read that again. Seriously, read it again. Americans love an immigrant success story. They want more talented immigrants to come to America. But they refuse to accept people coming illegally. They believe in having a border.

6. Americans are sensitive about racial issues and their country's imperfect history. They believe that those who are disadvantaged by the circumstances of their birth should be given the opportunity to succeed. What they reject, however, is the idea that in order to address the errors of the past new errors must be made. DEI is racist. They know it and they reject it precisely because they are not racist.

7. Americans are the most philosemitic nation on earth. October 7 and the pro-Hamas left's reaction shocked them to their very core because, among other things, they remember what 9/11 was like and they know jihad when they see it.

8. Americans are extremely practical people. They care about what works, not what sounds good. In Europe, we produce great writers and intellectuals. In America they produce (and attract) great engineers, businessmen and investors. Because of this, they care less about Trump's rhetoric than you do and more about his policies than you do.

9. Americans are deeply optimistic people. They hate negativity. The woke view of American history as a series of evils for which they must eternally apologise is utterly abhorrent to them. They believe in moving forward together, not endlessly obsessing about the past.

10. America is a country whose founding story is one of resistance to government overreach. They loathe unnecessary restrictions, regulations and control. They understand that freedom comes with the price of self-reliance and they pay it gladly.

    （免责声明：本文为经济学教授据公开资料做出的客观分析，不构成投资或者购买建议，请勿以此作为投资或者购买依据。）