或形成“三台风共舞”

今年第13号台风“贝碧嘉”已减弱为热带风暴级。不过，第14号台风、潜在的第15号台风也要来了？

今年第14号台风“普拉桑”趋向我国东海海面

今天（17日）凌晨，台风“贝碧嘉”移入安徽滁州境内，减弱为热带风暴。不过，台风或许还没有结束。

据悉，今年第14号台风“普拉桑”已于9月15日晚在西北太平洋洋面上生成。今天早晨5时，位于琉球群岛那霸市东南方向约1670公里的洋面上，预计，“普拉桑”将以每小时55-60公里的速度向西北方向快速移动，强度变化不大，将趋向我国东海海面。

据中国天气消息，在稳定副热带高压系统引导下，台风“普拉桑”可能和“贝碧嘉”路径相似，或再奔江浙沪，而且由于9月18日-20日还有冷空气参与，“普拉桑”的路径也会非常难预测。

今年第15号台风“苏力”将生成

据台风监测消息，预计，热带低压将缓慢向偏西方向移动，强度逐渐增强，未来或将加强为第15号台风“苏力”。

中国气象频道气象分析师信欣表示，潜在的15号台风“苏力”，目前预报从海南南侧海面掠过的概率更大。但依然不排除临近海南时，路径北翘，登陆海南。而且后期因为和冷空气结合，即便近海掠过，风雨影响不可小觑。

海洋天气公报

来源：中央气象台 发布时间：2024年09月17日20时

我国近海海域将有6~8级大风

一、近海海域天气实况

17日02时至14时，受台风“贝碧嘉”外围环流影响，黄海南部和东海北部的沿岸海域出现了6~8级、阵风9级的大风。东海南部海域、台湾海峡、巴士海峡、南海东北部和南部海域出现了5~7级、阵风8级的风。

二、近海海域重点天气预报

1、我国近海海域将有6~8级大风

预计，17日夜间至20日白天，受台风“普拉桑”和南海热带低压的共同影响，东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海大部海域、琼州海峡、北部湾将有6~8级、阵风9级的大风，其中东海部分海域风力可达9~10级、阵风11~12级，南海中西部海域、北部湾偏南海域风力可达9级、阵风10~11级。有关台风“普拉桑”和南海热带低压”的详细信息，请参见中央气象台最新一期《台风公报》。

19日夜间至20日白天，受冷空气影响，渤海、渤海海峡将有6~8级、阵风9~10级的东北风。

三、未来三天具体预报

四、未来4～7天天气展望

预计， 20日夜间至24日白天，受低值系统和冷空气共同影响，渤海、渤海海峡、黄海大部海域、东海大部海域、台湾海峡、台湾以东洋面、巴士海峡、南海大部海域将有6~8级、阵风9~10级的偏北风或旋转风。

全球海事公报

ZCZC

WWCI50 BABJ 150000

2:2:31:11:11:00

BT

PAN PAN =

MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING

AT 0330UTC SEP.15 2024 =

MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS =

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000UTC SEP.15 =

FCST VALID 0000UTC SEP.16 =

WARNNING=

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNNING=

TY BEBINCA 2413(2413) 970HPA AT 29.6N 127.1E

MVG WNW 22KMH AND MAX WINDS 35M/S NEAR CENTER

(SEAS UP TO 7.5M)

AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS

200KM NE

180KM SE

180KM SW

200KM NW

AND RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS

100KM NE

80KM SE

80KM SW

100KM NW

AND RADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS

30KM NE

30KM SE

30KM SW

30KM NW

AND FCST FOR 160000UTC AT 30.9N 121.5E 970HPA

AND MAX WINDS 35M/S NEAR CENTER=

SUMMARY=

NW/WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP

TO 1.5M OVER BOHAI SEA AND SOUTHERN PART OF SOUTH

CHINA SEA=

NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S GUSTS 14M/S SEAS UP TO

1.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA=

CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 18 TO 22M/S GUSTS 26M/S SEAS

UP TO 4.0M OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=

SW WINDS FROM 12 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP TO

2.5M OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA

SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES=

HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER TAIWAN

STRAIT AND NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

AND QIONGZHOU STRAIT AND BEIBU GULF AND

SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA AND ANDAMAN SEA AND

THAILAND GULF AND MALACCA STRAIT AND MALACCA

STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE AND SEA SOUTH OF

SUMATERA AND SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND

MAKASSAR STRAIT AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=

FCST=

BOHAI SEA

N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 04 TO

06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S SEA STATE MODERATE TO

SLIGHT SUNNY VIS GOOD=

CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA

E WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE SUNNY BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA

NE WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S VEER E

WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH OVERCAST BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS GOOD TO

MODERATE=

NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA

S WINDS BACK E 28 TO 32M/S GUSTS 32 TO 36M/S SEA

STATE VERY ROUGH LIGHT RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA

S WINDS 16 TO 20M/S GUSTS 20 TO 24M/S BACK SE

WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH TO MODERATE LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS

MODERATE TO GOOD=

SEA EAST OF TAIWAN

NE WINDS 02 TO 04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S VEER E

WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY BECMG OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

BASHI CHANNEL

N WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S VEER NE

WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

N WINDS 02 TO 04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA

W WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S VEER NW

WINDS 02 TO 04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE MODERATE RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS MODERATE

TO GOOD=

EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA

W WINDS 04 TO 06M/S GUSTS 06 TO 08M/S DECR 02 TO

04M/S GUSTS 04 TO 06M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

VIS GOOD=

SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA

SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA

N WINDS VEER NE 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE SUNNY BECMG CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA

NE WINDS VEER E 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA

STATE MODERATE LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS

MODERATE TO GOOD=

KOREA STRAIT

E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE LIGHT RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN

SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK NE

WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH TO MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS

E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS

E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE OVERCAST VIS GOOD=

SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

SW WINDS BACK E 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA

STATE ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS

E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES

SW WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA WEST OF GUAM

W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S BACK SW

WINDS 12 TO 16M/S GUSTS 16 TO 20M/S SEA STATE

ROUGH MODERATE RAIN BECMG HEAVY RAIN VIS MODERATE=

SEA SOUTHWEST OF THE PHILIPPINES

SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SEA NORTHEAST OF INDONESIA

SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF JAWA

SE WINDS 06 TO 08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF SUMATERA

SE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S DECR 06 TO

08M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MODERATE CLOUDY

VIS GOOD=

MALACCA STRAIT

W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE

SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE CLOUDY VIS GOOD=

SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM

W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE HEAVY RAIN BECMG MODERATE RAIN VIS

MODERATE=

GULF OF THAILAND

W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

ANDAMAN SEA

W WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 16M/S SEA STATE

MODERATE MODERATE RAIN VIS MODERATE=

NNNN

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