北京
（来源：CGTN）
转自：CGTN
【亲历1979年伊朗革命学者：这场战争将走向何方？】 特朗普称，对伊战争可能持续四至五周甚至更久——这场冲突将如何演变？新加坡南洋理工大学高级研究员詹姆斯·多尔西（James Dorsey）表示，他曾在1979年伊朗伊斯兰革命期间身处德黑兰，亲历军队内部动荡；而当前伊朗尚未出现类似裂痕，关键在于其能否持续反击。俄克拉荷马大学中东研究中心主任乔舒亚·兰迪斯（Joshua Landis）指出，油价上涨、通胀风险与中期选举临近，正使白宫面临不断上升的国内政治压力。#舆论纵贯线# #先声夺人# #中东局势#President Trump says the Iran conflict could last four to five weeks, or even longer – but how might it unfold? James Dorsey, senior fellow at Singapore's RSIS, recalls being in Tehran during the 1979 revolution and witnessing military unrest; he notes that no comparable internal fracture has emerged so far, with Iran's ability to sustain retaliation remaining the key variable. Joshua Landis, director of the Middle East Center at the University of Oklahoma, pointed out that rising gas prices, inflation risks and looming midterm elections are increasing domestic pressure on the White House.
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