张广财：经济激励与农户土地决策：中国农村的证据

张广财等《Farmers' decision-making regarding land under economic incentives: Evidence from rural China》在ABS三星级期刊《Economic Analysis and Policy》Volume 84, 2024发表。

《Economic Analysis and Policy》是爱思唯尔（Elsevier）旗下经济学国际权威学术期刊(SSCI，JCR分区:Q1，影响因子：7.9)，是经济政策分析领域的权威期刊之一，发表的文章来自经济学各个分支，特别关注经济理论和应用的研究，具有很强的政策相关性。

内容摘要

To achieve complete urbanization in developing countries, it is essential for many farmers to leave rural areas and withdraw from farmland as they enter urban employment. The Chinese government offers economic incentives to encourage households to relinquish their land rights. Based on a survey data in rural China, this paper examines the impact of land transfers and urban housing on the withdrawal of contractual rights of farm households. Econometric analyses reveal that rural households with urban housing are 6.4 % less likely to choose to withdraw from land, whereas those involved in land transfers are 3.8 % more likely to do so. The study's findings suggest that a uniform policy, like nationwide land withdrawal reforms accompanied by economic compensation, might lead to outcomes where the poor lose land and the rich retain theirs.

发展中国家在实现城市化过程中，许多农民需要离开农村地区，并在进入城市就业的同时退出耕地。中国政府提供经济激励措施，鼓励农户放弃土地权益。基于中国农村的调查数据，本文研究了土地流转和城市住房对农户退出承包权的影响。计量经济分析显示，拥有城市住房的农村家庭选择退出土地的可能性降低了6.4%，而参与土地流转的家庭则更有可能退出，概率增加了3.8%。研究结果表明，全国范围内统一实施的土地退出改革并辅以经济补偿的政策，可能导致贫困者失地，而富裕者保留土地的结果。

Economic Analysis and Policy Volume 84, December 2024, Pages 725-738

Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.019